German Bundesliga Favorites, Betting Odds and Analysis

by | Nov 23, 2018 | Soccer Betting Previews

German Bundesliga


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Contrary to the expectations of most soccer pundits, justified by Bayern Munich's domestic superiority over the past few seasons, the German Bundesliga is not a one-horse race anymore!  

Furthermore, the Bavarians, who were strong preseason favorites for another year, are fifth after 11 rounds and seven points behind leaders Borussia Dortmund who are still unbeaten.

It's been almost a decade since there was another Bundesliga champion than Bayern Munich or Borussia Dortmund – Wolfsburg in 2009 – but Bayern's hegemony has been pretty remarkable ever since.

The Reds from Munich have triumphed in the top tier of German football for six successive seasons, with Jurgen Klopp's Borussia Dortmund being the last different side that managed to lift the trophy – in 2012.

Moreover, Bayern Munich has not only conquered the Bundesliga peak for six successive years but they've done it in an extremely convincing fashion in each one – 25 points lead in 2013, 19 in 2014, 10 in 2015, 10 in 2016, 15 in 2017 and 19 in 2018.

Bayern Munich: To Win The Bundesliga +100 / To Win Double (Bundesliga and DFB-Pokal) +275 / To Win Treble (Bundesliga, DFB Pokal and the UEFA Champions League) +25 000

As the team with most Bundesliga titles (27), Bayern Munich is always among the title contenders and although they're currently fifth in the standings, some bookies rate them the biggest favorites to retain the trophy in May.

The Bavarians have just lost the derby against Borussia Dortmund which surely increases the pressure on the recently appointed Niko Kovac. Nevertheless, president Uli Hoeness has dismissed talk of the club sacking coach Niko Kovac following another disappointing result.

Meanwhile, German media suggest that Bayern Munich legend Oliver Kahn can replace Hoeness as the club president if he steps aside. Kahn has a close relationship with Hoeness and could now be set to take up a prominent position at the club where he spent the majority of his playing career.

The 3-2 loss at Dortmund was Bayern's third defeat of the Bundesliga campaign. As for comparison, they have lost only four matches in 34 rounds last season.

Of course, patients would be crucial and despite some rumors suggesting Niko Kovac will be sacked, FCB's board realizes that he will need a transition period in order to reap the fruits of the biggest challenge in his managerial career.

The 47-years-old Croatian, who was born in West Berlin, has already managed another Bundesliga club – Eintracht Frankfurt – where he won his first trophy as a manager. That happened only a few months ago – at the 2018 DFB-Pokal (German Cup) final in Berlin where Kovac won the duel against Jupp Heynckes' Bayern.

Although Bayern Munich are already seven points behind their Dortmund rivals, the Bavarians are top favorites to win the Bundesliga according to the bookies. You'll get +100 on Intertops, which is nowhere near the preseason odds.

If you seek more excitement and greater odds – you can also place a bet on Bayern Munich to win more trophies – a domestic Double or why not a Treble, including the UEFA Champions League?


Borussia Dortmund: To Win The Bundesliga +110 @ MyBookie / To Win Double (Both Bundesliga and DFB-Pokal) +800 @ Intertops

Borussia Dortmund has won the Bundesliga title five times and the last one of them came in 2012 when Jurgen Klopp's men were impressive throughout and Robert Lewandowski was still part of that spectacular and attacking minded outfit.

Lucien Favre will hope to become the next manager who will write his name with golden letters in Borussia Dortmund's history. The 61-years-old Swiss has already gained Bundesliga experience as he previously managed and revived the teams of Hertha BSC (2007-2009) and Borussia Monchengladbach (2011-2015). However, he is yet to win a trophy in Germany and the Borussia Dortmund appointment seems to be the best opportunity.

In fact, Marco Reus (8 goals, 3 assists), current Borussia Dortmund captain, became a prolific goalscorer for his former club Borussia Monchengladbach exactly under Lucien Favre and it seems that they both get along well at Dortmund.

But it's not only Reus who shines for Die Borussen this season – there are some exceptional young talents such as French center-back Dan-Axel Zagadou, Moroccan full-back Achraf Hakimi, Danish winger Jacob Bruun Larsen, English winger Jadon Sancho (4 goals, 6 assists) and of course the American winger Christian Pulisic, whose name has already been linked with Bayern Munich and some Premier League clubs (Chelsea, Liverpool).

Experienced figures like Lukasz Piszczek, Thomas Delaney, Axel Witsel and skipper Marco Reus contribute for the maturity of the squad, while young players like Manuel Akanji, Abdou Diallo and Raphael Guerreiro seem to be tactically mature.

Moreover, Paco Alcacer revives his career at Dortmund where the Spaniard has already scored 8 goals in 6 Bundesliga appearances, starting in just two of them.

So if you think that Borussia Dortmund is capable to dethrone Bayern Munich you can still get some great odds on The BVB +110 @ MyBookie. These odds are absolutely fine, especially if we consider Lucien Favre's men are already seven points clear of their Munich rivals.

Besides, if you believe Dortmund can win both domestic titles you can hit some great odds: +800 @ Intertops.


Borussia Monchengladbach: +5000 To Win The Bundesliga @ MyBookie / -161 To Finish In Top 4 @ Intertops

Borussia Monchengladbach (Borussia Mgladbach or simply Gladbach) are currently second in the Bundesliga table, four points behind Dortmund.

The Foals finished 9th last season but their improvement this time is obvious – Dieter Hecking's men are playing really well and their 3-0 victory over Bayern in Munich is an evidence of their progress.

Following a devastating 5-0 home loss to Bayer Leverkusen in the DFB-Pokal second round, Gladbach can focus entirely on their Bundesliga campaign and the lack of European or Cup games should help them achieve better results in the league.

With players like Thorgan Hazard (7 goals and 4 assists), Jonas Hofmann (5 goals and 3 assists) and Alassane Plea (8 goals and 3 assists), Dieter Hecking can feel confident about Gladbach's attack, while experienced players like Lars Stindl, Raffael and Patrick Hermann are always there to deputize if necessarily.

They have some tough games on the schedule, including a visit to Dortmund prior to the winter break, but a good streak in the next couple of weeks can reduce the odds on Gladbach to win the Bundesliga title for the first time since 1977.

The five-time champions were dominant in the 70s when their success has spread internationally – Gladbach have reached five continental finals – winning the 1976-77 European Cup, as well as the 1974-75 and 1978-79 UEFA Cup, where they were also runners-up in 1973 and 1980.


RB Leipzig: +4000 To Win The Bundesliga / -227 To Finish In Top 4

RB Leipzig are once again the only team from the former East Germany that competes in the German Bundesliga and despite the massive odds gap between them and the recognized title pretenders, the Red Bulls are the third favorite of the bookies.

The Saxony club will mark its 10th anniversary in May when the season ends, and Ralf Rangnick's men are surely keen to repeat their best performance from their debut Bundesliga season – second place in 2016-17.

Last season RB Leipzig finished 6th and they have made their UEFA Champions League debut, while this season the Red Bulls are engaged with the Europa League.

Timo Werner, who joined RB Leipzig from VfB Stuttgart in 2016, has scored six goals in 11 Bundesliga appearances and the German international has been frequently linked with major clubs within Germany (Bayern München and Borussia Dortmund) and abroad (Barcelona, Real Madrid, Liverpool, Manchester United and Chelsea).

The 22-year-old striker is likely to be on the move if he doesn't extend his deal that expires in 2020, but there is another option – Werner will stay at RB Leipzig. Just a few months ago, in August, Werner said he can imagine staying until 2020 at least – partly because that would give him the chance to play under Julian Nagelsmann who will take over as RB Leipzig coach before next season.

RB Leipzig sporting director and head coach Ralf Rangnick has said that he's working to extend Werner's contract, but the negotiations have dragged on for almost a year. Nevertheless, the German forward who recently four goals in his last three domestic appearances, as well as a goal for Germany's 2-2 draw against the Netherlands, obviously enjoys playing for his current club and we will be surprised if he leaves Leipzig during the season.

Furthermore, Ralf Rangnick has other potential scorers such as Yussuf Poulsen (6 goals in 11 appearances) and Jean-Kevin Augustin (3 goals in 8 appearances), with the latter usually being used as a substitute. Summer signing Matheus Cunha represents another attacking option as the 19-years-old Brazilian has already scored his first Bundesliga goal in the 3-0 away win over Hertha Berlin early in November.

We paid much attention to their attack, but it is worth noting that RB Leipzig actually boasts the best defensive record in the Bundesliga so far – conceding just 9 goals in 11 games. Captain Willi Orban does a really great job at the back where he usually partners with either Ibrahima Konate or Dayot Upamecano, but there are games when Ralf Rangnick starts a center-back trio and he might as well use Stefan Ilsanker as a defender.

We must also praise the form of goalkeeper Peter Gulacsi who has kept six clean sheets in 11 Bundesliga rounds – two more than both Roman Burki (Borussia Dortmund) and Yann Sommer (Gladbach), and four more than Bayern Munich's skipper Manuel Neuer.

RB Leipzig finished second in their Bundesliga debut campaign two seasons ago and we won't be surprised if they return to top four. They have some gifted and hard-working youngsters but the lack of experienced figures can be decisive if they see an opportunity to raid the Bundesliga top.  

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Eintracht Frankfurt: +15000 To Win The Bundesliga / +400 To Finish In Top 4

Eintracht Frankfurt is another famous German club that was trying to add silverware into its trophy cabinet after three trophyless decades.

The DFB-Pokal success in May brought Eintracht Frankfurt's first trophy since the 1988 DFB-Pokal when Karl-Heinz Feldkamp's men have won the final in Berlin against VfL Bochum.

After two unsuccessful attempts in the 21st century, the Eagles have finally won the German Cup after thirty years of waiting. The squad led by Niko Kovac did extremely well to outwit Bayern Munich at “Olympiastadion” in Berlin after goals by Ante Rebic (two) and Mijat Gacinovic.

With two in-form strikers like Luka Jovic and Sebastien Haller, one from Serbia and one from France, coach Adi Hutter can be confident about his team's attacking force. Haller scored 8 goals and assisted five times in 11 league games, while the 20-years-old Jovic is the leading Bundesliga goalscorer with 9 goals and 2 assists. Five of them were scored in a single game – 7-1 victory against Fortuna Dusseldorf in October.

Eintracht Frankfurt's form is also impressive in the Europa League where they have won four games in a row, topping the group and waiting for the knockout phase draw, although they have two more games on the schedule.

Meanwhile, the aforementioned pair is effective in Europe as well – Jovic has netted 3 goals in 4 appearances, while Haller has notched two.

Frankfurt was surprisingly knocked out of the DFB-Pokal in the first round by fourth-division side SSV Ulm, losing 2-1, and that was another shocking chapter of Adi Hutter's first weeks in charge.

Following some disappointing results in the preseason friendlies, The Eagles have been hammered by Niko Kovac's Bayern in the DFL-Supercup – losing 5-0. Just six days later Eintracht lost to Ulm and then Hutter won only one of his first five Bundesliga games, losing three.

After a poor beginning under Adi Hutter, Eintracht Frankfurt is now unbeaten in 9 games (all competitions), winning 8 of them. If their revival manages to inspire more positive results in the remaining six Bundesliga rounds this year, Frankfurt can surely claim a top-four place and Champions League qualification. Bookies offer some great odds on this market and you can place a bet on +400 at Intertops.


Hoffenheim: +15000 To Win The Bundesliga / +175 To Finish In Top 4

Hoffenheim shows gradual progress under Julian Nagelsmann, the youngest manager in Bundesliga history (28-years-old at the time of his appointment), and finished third last season.

Earlier this year Hoffenheim announced that Nagelsmann will be leaving the Sinsheim club at the end of the current season since he will join RB Leipzig next summer. Nevertheless, Hoffenheim are doing well in Nagelsmann's farewell season and they're sixth in the Bundesliga, one point behind top four and with realistic chance to extend their European campaign to 2019.

It's not realistic to believe that Hoffenheim can be a title contender but they are surely interested to defend their top four status. If you think they can make it for the third year in a row (finishing in top four) – Intertops offers +175.


Bayer Leverkusen: +900 To Finish In Top 4

Bayer Leverkusen's performance is perhaps the biggest disappointment of the Bundesliga season so far and coach Heiko Herrlich is the biggest favorite of the bookies to get sacked first among the Bundesliga managers.

Despite the Europa League progress, Herrlich should have achieved better domestic results. Leverkusen is 13th after 11 games, with 11 points and just three points above the bottom.

These results are unacceptable and with players like Tin Jedvaj, Jonathan Tah, Lars Bender, Sven Bender, Julian Brandt, Leon Bailey, Kai Havertz, Karim Bellarabi, and Kevin Volland, every coach would be determined to succeed and claim top half positioning.

If you believe Bayer Leverkusen will finally find themselves and meet the preseason expectations, you can find some juicy odds +900 on Bayer to finish in top four.

Expect more Bundesliga articles, match previews, and soccer betting predictions over the next months!

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