Argentina vs Colombia Prediction – World Cup Qualification June 10th, 2025

Colombia will be eager to turn around their poor form when they travel to Buenos Aires to face reigning World Cup champions Argentina at the Estadio Monumental.

Los Cafeteros secured a significant 2-1 victory over Argentina in Barranquilla in September and will now be determined to avoid defeat in the return fixture. That triumph marked Colombia’s first win over La Albiceleste since 2019 and served as partial revenge for their loss in the Copa América final last July.

Argentina: World Champions Chasing Fifth Straight Home Win

Argentina return to the electrifying Estadio Monumental on Tuesday night looking to stretch their unbeaten home run in the 2026 World Cup qualifiers. Lionel Scaloni’s men have already punched their ticket to the finals, but there’s no sign of them easing off. Their 1-0 win over Chile last week marked a fourth consecutive victory, lifting their tally to 11 wins in 15 matches and keeping them a dominant 10 points clear at the top of the CONMEBOL standings.

The reigning champions have been especially ruthless at home. Since their 2-0 defeat to Uruguay in November 2023, Argentina have responded with four straight home victories, scoring a combined 16 goals and conceding just twice. Their most notable wins include a 6-0 thrashing of Bolivia and a statement 4-1 victory over fierce rivals Brazil in March.

What stands out is the blend of attacking flair and defensive solidity. They’ve scored three or more goals in three of those four home games, with key contributions from a rotating cast of stars. Julian Alvarez added to his goal tally with another strike against Chile, bringing his total to four in the qualifiers, and he is expected to lead the line once more. Lionel Messi, who featured as a substitute in the previous match, may return to the starting eleven as he looks to increase his six-goal haul in the campaign.

Scaloni is expected to start Emiliano Martinez in goal, protected by a back four of Nahuel Molina, Cristian Romero, Leonardo Balerdi, and Nicolas Tagliafico. In midfield, Rodrigo De Paul and Exequiel Palacios will likely dictate the tempo, while the attacking line may consist of Giovanni Simeone, Thiago Almada, Lionel Messi, and Julian Alvarez.

Though their qualification is secured, Argentina remain hungry to wrap up the campaign in style. Furthermore, with four home wins already in 2024 and 2025, they look primed to hand Colombia another painful away result.

Colombia: Fading Form Threatens World Cup Hopes

Colombia’s path to the World Cup has grown increasingly uncertain. Despite a promising start to qualifying, Nestor Lorenzo’s team arrives in Buenos Aires in sixth place with just 21 points – clinging to the final automatic qualification spot and nervously glancing over their shoulder at a resurgent Venezuela, who sit only three points behind.

Los Cafeteros began the campaign strongly, going eight matches unbeaten, but that momentum evaporated after their surprise 2-1 win over Argentina in the reverse fixture last September. Since then, Colombia have picked up just one win in their last seven qualifiers, suffering four defeats and failing to win any of their last five outings.

Their away form paints an even bleaker picture. Colombia have lost three straight matches on the road, falling to Uruguay, Ecuador, and Brazil – all teams competing with them for qualification. A fourth consecutive away defeat could see them lose their grip on sixth place, especially if Venezuela manage to earn points in their clash with Uruguay.

There is, however, some hope. Luis Diaz returns from suspension and, with six goals in qualifying, he shares the top scorer spot with Lionel Messi. If the Liverpool forward finds the net again, he could take the outright lead. Meanwhile, James Rodriguez continues to pull the strings in midfield. With nine big chances created and five assists, the veteran playmaker remains Colombia’s most influential figure and will be key if they are to unlock Argentina’s defense.

Colombia’s expected lineup includes Kevin Mier in goal, with a back line of Daniel Munoz, Yerry Mina, Davinson Sanchez, and Cristian Borja. The midfield duo of Jefferson Lerma and Kevin Castano will likely operate behind an attacking trio of Jhon Arias, James Rodriguez, and Luis Diaz, supporting striker Jhon Durán.

With qualification hanging in the balance, Colombia must find a way to defy the odds. But with the current form and the strength of their opponent, that task looks truly Monumental.

Argentina vs Colombia Betting Prediction

Given Argentina’s blistering attacking form at home and Colombia’s desperation to find points, a high-scoring match appears likely. The Over 2.5 Goals market is priced at +125 at EveryGame – solid value considering Argentina’s recent home results, which have included score lines of 3-0, 4-1, and 6-0.

For bettors expecting both sides to get on the scoresheet, Both Teams to Score – Yes is available at +130. With Luis Diaz and James Rodriguez leading Colombia’s attack and Argentina poised to unleash Messi and Alvarez, a back-and-forth contest isn’t out of the question.

While Argentina are clear favorites at -154, Colombia’s long odds of +475 reflect their current struggles. The draw, listed at +265, may appeal to those expecting a tense, cagey encounter – but all signs suggest that the world champions will once again deliver in front of their passionate home support.

Argentina vs Colombia Free Play: Over 2.5 Goals +125 at EveryGame for 5/10 Units