Inter Milan vs Juventus Best Serie A Bet – Feb. 16, 2025

Two of Italy’s biggest clubs, Juventus and Inter Milan, will renew hostilities in a highly anticipated Serie A showdown at the Allianz Stadium on Sunday night (local time). Following their thrilling 4-4 draw at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in October, the stakes are even higher as Juventus fights for a top-four finish while Inter battles to maintain pressure in the Scudetto race.

Juventus Aims for Stability Amid European Commitments

Juventus comes into this clash on the back of a hard-fought 2-1 victory over PSV Eindhoven in the Champions League playoff round. Thiago Motta’s side showed resilience midweek, with goals from Weston McKennie and Samuel Mbangula securing a valuable first-leg lead against the Eredivisie champions.

However, domestically, the Bianconeri have struggled to find consistency, with too many home draws hampering their Champions League qualification bid.

Currently sitting outside the top four, Juventus knows that securing three consecutive Serie A wins for the first time since January 2024 is crucial. Their home record remains solid – they are the only team still unbeaten at home in Serie A this season (5-7-0) – but their tendency to drop points in drawn matches (the highest in Europe’s top five leagues) remains a concern.

A key area of focus for Juventus will be defending set pieces. They have conceded 43% of their goals from dead-ball situations, the highest ratio in Serie A, while Inter leads the league with 17 goals from set plays. If they are to contain Inter’s firepower, Motta’s men must tighten up their defense.

History, however, is on Juventus’ side – they have won 39 more league encounters than Inter Milan and lost just once in their last 11 home Serie A matches against their arch-rivals (winning seven of them).

Thiago Motta faces several selection dilemmas, especially in defense. Bremer, Pierre Kalulu, Juan Cabal, and Andrea Cambiaso remain sidelined, while Lloyd Kelly is battling illness. The midfield options are slightly better, with Teun Koopmeiners, Khephren Thuram, Francisco Conceicao, and Samuel Mbangula all pushing for starts.

Upfront, Randal Kolo Muani has quickly adapted to Serie A, scoring five goals in his first three league appearances – a record unmatched by any newcomer this century. Dusan Vlahovic, however, continues to struggle for a regular starting place.

Inter Milan’s Title Chase and Current Away Form Advantage

Inter Milan, on the other hand, comes into this match well-rested after a week without midweek European commitments. Simone Inzaghi’s men bounced back from a league defeat against Fiorentina by edging out La Viola 2-1 in Monday’s rematch, keeping them just two points behind leaders Napoli, following the Partenopei’s 2-2 draw at Lazio on Saturday evening. 

The Nerazzurri boast Serie A’s best away attack, scoring more goals on the road than any other team, while also having the joint-best defensive record in away matches. Despite their 3-0 defeat in Florence last time out, they will be confident of securing a rare win in Turin.

Adding to their motivation is Lautaro Martinez, who is just one goal away from becoming the first foreign player in Inter’s history to score double digits in six different Serie A seasons. His partnership with Marcus Thuram has been crucial this campaign, but the French forward is racing to be fit after an ankle injury. If he is unavailable, Marko Arnautovic or Mehdi Taremi could fill the void.

Marcus Thuram’s availability remains a major talking point, with a late fitness test set to determine his involvement. If Marcus is not fully fit to start against his brother’s club, Marko Arnautovic could also play a role in Sunday’s derby. The Austrian veteran scored the winner in Inter Milan’s 2-1 win over Fiorentina on Monday night, which was his first league goal of the season. 

Meanwhile, Denzel Dumfries served his suspension and the Netherlands international will likely start at right wing-back, while Federico Dimarco is expected to return on the left.

Possible Starting Lineups of Juventus and Inter Milan

Juventus: Michele Di Gregorio – Timothy Weah, Federico Gatti, Renato Veiga, Lloyd Kelly – Manuel Locatelli, Khephren Thuram – Francisco Conceicao, Weston McKennie, Samuel Mbangula – Randal Kolo Muani. (4-2-3-1)

Inter Milan: Yann Sommer – Benjamin Pavard, Francesco Acerbi, Alessandro Bastoni – Denzel Dumfries, Nicolo Barella, Hakan Calhanoglu, Henrikh Mkhitaryan, Federico Dimarco – Lautaro Martinez, Marcus Thuram. (3-5-2)

Spooky Express Betting Prediction

Sunday night’s Derby d’Italia promises to be an intense battle as Juventus and Inter Milan face off in one of Serie A’s most highly anticipated matches. EveryGame’s latest odds on Sunday morning slightly favor the visitors, with Inter Milan priced at +110, while Juventus stands at +265, and a draw is set at +230.

Given Juventus’ solid home record and Inter’s attacking firepower, we expect an open contest where both teams find the net. Juventus has been defensively vulnerable on set pieces, conceding the highest proportion of goals from dead-ball situations in Serie A (43%), while Inter leads the league in set-piece goals (17). At the same time, the Nerazzurri have conceded in each of their last four away matches across all competitions.

With both sides boasting top-class attacking options, Spooky Express’ recommended bet is Both Teams to Score – Yes (-120) at EveryGame for 7/10 Units. Juventus has struggled to keep clean sheets against elite opposition, while Inter’s attacking duo of Lautaro Martinez and Marcus Thuram (if fit) is more than capable of breaching the Bianconeri defense.

Spooky Express Free Play: Both teams to score – Yes -120 at EveryGame for 7/10 Units.