Serie A Pick and Preview: Atalanta vs Inter Milan – Sunday, March 16th, 2025

A crucial clash in the fiercely contested Scudetto race takes center stage on Sunday evening as Atalanta will be keen to end their poor record against Inter Milan at the Gewiss Stadium. With just three points separating both clubs in the Serie A standings and a mere 40 miles between their home bases, these two Nerazzurro sides are set for a high-stakes battle.

This encounter follows Napoli’s opportunity to seize top spot in Venice, adding extra pressure on both teams. Inter Milan lead the way in Serie A, but Atalanta could draw level with Simone Inzaghi’s men if they emerge victorious in Bergamo.

Atalanta’s Scudetto Push: Can La Dea Keep Pace?

Atalanta delivered one of their most impressive performances of the season last weekend, dismantling Juventus in a dominant display. Under the tactical mastery of Gian Piero Gasperini, La Dea stunned the Bianconeri with a ruthless second-half surge, securing a historic 4-0 triumph in Turin. That emphatic win effectively ended Juve’s title hopes while reinforcing Atalanta’s credentials as genuine Scudetto contenders.

With that statement victory, Atalanta equaled Inter atop the Serie A goal charts, having netted 63 times in 28 matches – an average of 2.25 goals per game. Their attacking firepower is undeniable, but defensive resilience has also been a key asset, with five consecutive clean sheets in the league. However, a recent European exit against Club Brugge exposed some frailties, as they shipped three goals at home.

Despite their impressive goal tally, inconsistency has hampered Atalanta’s title charge. They have yet to record back-to-back Serie A wins in 2025 and remain winless in five consecutive home league matches since the turn of the year. Disappointing draws against relegation-threatened Cagliari and Venezia have left them languishing eighth in the home rankings, and with a tough run-in ahead, their title aspirations hinge on securing a statement victory over Inter.

Gasperini has had a full week to prepare his squad, though he remains without several key players. Gianluca Scamacca, Odilon Kossounou, and Giorgio Scalvini remain sidelined, while Stefan Posch and former Inter winger Juan Cuadrado are also unavailable.

Atalanta will rely on the league’s top scorer, Mateo Retegui, who has 22 goals this season. However, the Argentine striker has yet to score or assist in 209 minutes of Serie A action against Inter. Ademola Lookman is set to partner him in attack as La Dea look to break their winless streak at home.

Inter Milan’s Grip on the Title Defense

Inter sit atop the Serie A table, but second-placed Napoli could temporarily overtake them before they kick off in Bergamo on Sunday evening. However, a win for Atalanta would see them draw level with Simone Inzaghi’s side in what is shaping up to be one of the closest Scudetto races in recent history.

Inter Milan have history firmly on their side. Unbeaten in the last 12 league meetings between these two (14 across all competitions), they have won five straight head-to-head clashes, including a dominant 4-0 victory in the reverse game earlier this campaign. Moreover, Inter’s most recent success over Atalanta came in the Supercoppa Italiana semi-finals, where they comfortably defeated their opponents 2-0 in Saudi Arabia.

After losing the Supercoppa final to AC Milan, Inter have struggled for consistency on the road, going winless in their last four away league games. However, their confidence was boosted on Tuesday as they secured a Champions League quarter-final spot with a 4-1 aggregate victory over Feyenoord.

Captain Lautaro Martínez – the most prolific Serie A scorer against Atalanta (six goals in the last five years) – should return to the lineup after being rested midweek. The Argentine forward will reunite with Marcus Thuram on top of Inzaghi’s favorite 3-5-2 system.

Key midfield duo Nicolò Barella and Alessandro Bastoni, who were also rested against Feyenoord, will return, while Stefan de Vrij, Matteo Darmian, Federico Dimarco, Nicola Zalewski and Piotr Zieliński remain sidelined.

Possible Starting Lineups of Atalanta and Inter Milan 

• Atalanta: Marco Carnesecchi – Berat Djimsiti, Isak Hien, Sead Kolasinac – Raoul Bellanova, Marten de Roon, Ederson, Davide Zappacosta – Charles De Ketelaere, Ademola Lookman – Mateo Retegui. (3-4-2-1) 
• Inter Milan: Yann Sommer – Benjamin Pavard, Francesco Acerbi, Alessandro Bastoni – Denzel Dumfries, Nicolo Barella, Hakan Calhanoglu, Henrikh Mkhitaryan, Carlos Augusto – Lautaro Martínez, Marcus Thuram. (3-5-2)

Spooky Express Betting Prediction 

The stats suggest a tight contest, as across the last 15 league meetings in Bergamo, both sides have recorded four wins and seven draws, scoring 21 goals apiece. However, Inter’s strong head-to-head record and their experience give them a clear edge, and a win would all but rule out Atalanta’s Scudetto hopes.

With Atalanta priced at +175, a draw at +215, and Inter Milan at +170, the odds reflect just how finely balanced this encounter is. Given Inter’s dominance in this matchup over the past years and their unbeaten streak against Atalanta, our recommended bet is X2 (Inter Milan or Draw) and Over 1.5 Goals at -110, according to the latest betting odds from EveryGame.

Spooky Express Free Play: Outcome and Totals – X2 (Inter Milan or Draw) and Over 1.5 Goals -110 at EveryGame for 6/10 Units