Torino vs AC Milan Prediction, Odds & Best Bets – Serie A 2026/27

The new Serie A season begins this weekend, with Torino hosting AC Milan at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino on Sunday evening, August 23. Both clubs enter the 2026/27 campaign under new leadership, albeit with significantly different expectations for the months ahead.

Torino have appointed Ignazio Abate, a product of AC Milan’s youth system who spent the majority of his playing career with the Rossoneri and made more than 300 appearances for the club. His competitive tenure has already started with a victory, but the former AC Milan defender will now attempt to achieve something more meaningful with Il Toro.

Early Coppa Italia exits and mid-table finishes have become all too familiar to Torino over the past few years, creating the impression of a club that has grown accustomed to its present role in Italian football.

AC Milan, on the other hand, have turned to former Manchester United boss Ruben Amorim following a fifth-placed finish last season. Missing out on Champions League qualification cost Massimiliano Allegri his position, leaving Amorim with the responsibility of returning one of Italy’s biggest clubs to the title race.

The Rossoneri will have to settle for Europa League football this term, but that could allow them to place greater emphasis on their domestic campaign and an opportunity to challenge bitter rivals Inter Milan, Napoli and Juventus for the Scudetto.

Head-to-Head (H2H: Torino vs AC Milan)

AC Milan completed a league double over Torino last season, winning both encounters by a 3-2 scoreline. The Rossoneri have now lost only two of the last seven H2H matchups, recording four victories and one draw during that sequence.

Goals have become a regular feature of this matchup. The last six meetings have produced an average of 4.3 goals per game, with both teams demonstrating that they can cause significant problems for one another even when Milan have ultimately collected the points.

Torino can nevertheless draw confidence from their recent record at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino. They are undefeated across their last six home Serie A matches in 2025/26, winning four and drawing two (against Inter and Juventus).

History is less encouraging when it comes to their opening fixtures against Milanese opposition. Torino have won only one of their nine previous Serie A season openers against a club from Milan, with that solitary success arriving back in 1939.

Torino – Current Form and Team News

Torino have already kicked off their competitive campaign, securing a narrow 1-0 victory over Serie B side Carrarese in the Coppa Italia first round last weekend.

Giovanni Simeone scored the decisive goal after only eight minutes, but Torino were unable to extend their advantage despite Carrarese finishing the game with ten men. It was a professional rather than spectacular beginning for Abate, although securing qualification and a clean sheet represented the immediate priority.

Simeone should continue to lead the attack on Sunday. The experienced Argemtome forward has developed a habit of making an early impact, with three of his last six goals arriving inside the opening ten minutes.

Abate used a 3-4-2-1 system in the Coppa Italia and is expected to retain that formation against his boyhood club. Nikola Vlasic should occupy one of the positions behind Simeone, while Alieu Njie and Cesare Casadei are competing for the other attacking-midfield role.

Eray Comert was substituted during the closing stages against Carrarese but is set to miss the league opener through suspension. Ardian Ismajli is therefore expected to enter the back three alongside Pietro Comuzzo and Saúl Coco.

Gvidas Gineitis is narrowly favored over teenage midfielder Andrea Luongo for a starting place, while Torino are also monitoring the condition of Tino Anjorin, Franco Israel, Duvan Zapata and Pietro Pellegri.

AC Milan – Current Form and Team News

Amorim’s preparations produced mixed results, but AC Milan concluded their pre-season campaign with an encouraging 4-2 victory over his former club Manchester United at the Tarczynski Arena in Wrocław.

The Rossoneri fell behind twice but responded through goals from Samuel Chukwueze, Alphadjo Cisse, Goncalo Ramos and Ruben Loftus-Cheek. Their aggressive pressing, width and purposeful possession offered an early indication of how Amorim wants his new team to operate.

Ramos’ arrival from European champions Paris Saint-Germain represents one of AC Milan’s most prominent summer signings. The Portuguese forward has the potential to thrive under his compatriot and should enter the season with confidence after scoring his first Rossoneri goal against Man United. He also supplied two assists during that friendly, demonstrating that he can contribute more than just goals from the centre-forward position.

Luka Modric should play another pivotal role in AC Milan’s formation. Despite turning 41 in early September, the apparently ageless Croatian ended speculation about his retirement by signing a one-year extension through June 2027. Amorim appears ready to hand him the keys to the midfield, where his intelligence and control can provide balance to an otherwise energetic team.

Young goalkeeper Lorenzo Torriani impressed during pre-season and saved a Bruno Fernandes penalty against Manchester United. However, Mike Maignan should return for AC Milan’s first competitive match. Still recognised as one of Europe’s leading goalkeepers, the Frenchman will form an essential part of any potential Rossoneri title challenge.

Rafael Leao is not expected to feature after missing the final preparations for the match. His future remains unresolved following talks with club owner Gerry Cardinale, with AC Milan searching for a suitable transfer before the window closes.

Mexican forward Santiago Gimenez also remains unavailable. USMNT international Christian Pulisic has returned to group training following his leg injury, but he is unlikely to start and may initially be restricted to an appearance from the bench.

Pulisic’s condition should create another opportunity for Cisse after his impressive pre-season. The youngster could join Loftus-Cheek behind Ramos, with Chukwueze operating as the right wing-back in Amorim’s preferred 3-4-2-1 setup.

Possible Starting Lineups of Torino and AC Milan

Torino: Diego Mascardi – Pietro Comuzzo, Ardian Ismajli, Saúl Coco – Marcus Pedersen, Kian Fitz-Jim, Gvidas Gineitis, Alessio Cacciamani – Nikola Vlasic, Alieu Njie – Giovanni Simeone. (3-4-2-1)

AC Milan: Mike Maignan – Mario Gila, Koni De Winter, Strahinja Pavlovic – Samuel Chukwueze, Yunus Musah, Luka Modric, Pervis Estupinan – Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Alphadjo Cisse – Goncalo Ramos. (3-4-2-1)

Torino vs AC Milan Betting Odds and Prediction

AC Milan enter the opening weekend as clear favorites at -133, while Torino are priced as +333 underdogs. A draw can be backed at +250, with all odds provided by EveryGame.

The Rossoneri are still adjusting to Amorim’s methods, but their performance against Manchester United demonstrated the attacking potential within this new-look side. Ramos provides a recognized focal point, while Modric, Loftus-Cheek and Chukwueze offer several different ways of creating opportunities.

Torino’s six-game unbeaten home run deserves respect, but they were not particularly convincing against lower-division opposition in the Coppa Italia. The absence of Cömert also forces Abate to alter the defence that kept a clean sheet last weekend.

Therefore, an AC Milan victory at -133 is our best bet. The visitors possess greater individual quality and appear better equipped to make a decisive impact if the contest remains tight heading into the second half.

For bettors seeking a higher value with some insurance against an opening-day upset, AC Milan or Draw and Over 2.5 Goals at +135 represents an appealing option.

Torino should benefit from their home advantage and may find a way through Amorim’s newly assembled backline, but AC Milan have enough attacking quality to begin their Scudetto push with massive three points.

Torino vs AC Milan Best Bet: AC Milan to Win (-133 at EveryGame)

Torino vs AC Milan Value Pick: AC Milan or Draw and Over 2.5 Goals (+135 at EveryGame)