2019 Men’s Wimbledon Betting Preview: Rafael Nadal vs. Sam Querrey – Wednesday, July 10, 2019
Where: All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club in Wimbledon, London, United Kingdom.
When: Wednesday, July 10, 2019, 10:00 AM
Odds (Money Line): Rafael Nadal -817, Sam Querrey +617
Rafael Nadal continues his good form at the All England Club courts and the glorious Spaniard will now face Sam Querrey from the United States in the quarter-finals.
In pursuit of his third Wimbledon title, Nadal looks superior as he lost just one set in four matches so far.
He was dominant against Joao Sousa in the round of 16, sweeping past his hapless opponent in straight sets 6-2, 6-2, 6-2 in exactly 1 hour and 45 minutes to book a place in the last 8.
Sam Querrey booked his quarter-final spot of a Grand Slam for the first time since the 2017 US Open, where he lost to Kevin Anderson. He won the all-American round of 16 clash against Tennys Sandgren, prevailing in four tense sets, three of which were decided by a tie-break – 6-4, 6-7, 7-6, 7-6.
Head-to-Head Stats (H2H)
Sam Querrey and Rafael Nadal have faced each other on the ATP tour on five occasions in the past. The Spaniard leads 4-1 which also includes a victory in the Davis Cup. However, the American triumphed in straight sets in their last meeting (in March 2017) – in the final of the Mexican Open at Acapulco.
When it comes to Grand Slam competition, the duo have squared off just once so far and it was Nadal who emerged victorious in four sets 6-2, 5-7, 7-6, 6-3 in their fourth round encounter at the 2008 US Open.
Their upcoming quarter-final tie at the 2019 Wimbledon Championships will be their first ever meeting on turf, which adds a different dimension altogether.
Why Querrey can win a set against Nadal
Sam Querrey warmed up for the 2019 Wimbledon having made the final in Eastbourne only a few days earlier, where he lost to American youngster Taylor Harry Fritz. The 31-years-old San Francisco born player carried his great form into the Championships as he defeated Dominic Thiem 3-1 sets in the first round and eliminating tricky opponents such as Andrey Rublev, John Millman and Tennys Sandgren thereafter.
Querrey can boast victories over Andy Murray (3-2 in the 2017 quarterfinals) and Novak Djokovic (3-1 in 2016) at Wimbledon in the past, and he obviously loves playing on the grass which perfectly caters to his big-hitting style.
The American has served 100 aces in four rounds at this year's Championship and he'll hope to maintain his efficiency once again if he is to have any chance of taming the Spaniard.
Nadal seems to be a real contender this year
With a more offensive style and a remodeled service action, Rafa Nadal appears to be gunning for glory, leaving the impression that he can finally reach his first Wimbledon final since 2011 and to win his first Wimbledon title since 2010.
After his French Open triumph, Nadal began his 2019 Wimbledon Championships campaign with an easy win over Yuichi Sugita in the first round, followed by his biggest challenge so far – a 3-1 victory over Nick Kyrgios, winning the last two sets in a tie-break.
The four sets against Kyrgios have been followed by solid performances against Jo-Wilfried Tsonga and Joao Sousa, with Nadal winning 6-2 in five of the six sets played against them, while the other one was 6-3 in the second set against Tsonga.
Although Nadal is a strong favorite to beat Querrey, even in three sets, we expect an intriguing clash with four or more sets. Querrey's best ever Grand Slam performance was here, in London, two years ago when he won the first set but eventually lost 3-1 to Marin Cilic in the semifinal.
Back to current reality, the 18-time Grand Slam champion will be keen to continue from where he left off against his last two opponents, but Querrey's serve should be quite a challenge this time. In fact Nadal is likely to create not so many break opportunities and as a result, the Spaniard would need to make sure he defends his own serves well.
We also place a small stake on Querrey to upset Nadal.