Wimbledon 2025 Men’s Singles Betting Preview & Predictions: Odds, Favorites & Dark Horses on the Road to SW19 Glory

The arrival of Wimbledon on the tennis calendar brings with it a shift in pace – quite literally. As the only Slam played on grass, Wimbledon at SW19 offers a unique blend of slick surfaces, low bounces, and throwback serve-and-volley action. In the men’s draw, this often leads to a more predictable pattern than other Grand Slams, with the surface favoring elite movement, aggressive shot-making, and elite returning.

And yet, the 2025 edition of the All England Club classic feels wide open in some quarters – and entirely locked down in others. Let’s take a detailed look at the top contenders, dark horses, betting odds, and quarter-by-quarter analysis for Wimbledon 2025, with prices courtesy of EveryGame’s pre-tournament odds and SpookyExpress.com’s tennis betting previews.

The Pineapple, the Pinnacle, and Wimbledon Prestige

Wimbledon isn’t just another tournament – it’s the Pinnacle of tennis, with a capital P. No other event carries its tradition, pageantry, and history. That gilded pineapple sitting atop the Gentlemen’s Singles trophy? It’s more than decoration – it’s a symbol of hospitality, prestige, and excellence, reflecting a time when pineapples were rarer than titles themselves. Winning at Wimbledon means conquering not just a draw, but a legacy. For every player in this field, lifting that trophy is not just a goal – it’s the ultimate validation.

The Favorites

Carlos Alcaraz (+105 to win outright, -500 to win Quarter 4)

Fresh off an epic five-set comeback win over Sinner in the French Open final – widely hailed as the best Slam final of the 2020s (so far) – Alcaraz heads to Wimbledon with serious momentum. He dominated his grass-court preparation, taking the title at Queen’s Club by beating Jiri Lehecka, and enters SW19 as the reigning champion for a second time in a row.

Comparisons to the Big Three (Federer, Nadal, Djokovic) may seem premature, but Alcaraz is rewriting expectations. At 22, he already owns five Grand Slam titles – more than Federer or Djokovic had at the same age – and continues to prove his unmatched ceiling. His improvisation, tactical variety, and aggressive mindset make him a perennial threat at both Roland Garros and Wimbledon for the foreseeable future.

Jannik Sinner (+175 to win outright, -500 to win Quarter 1)

Sinner enters Wimbledon with just one loss in his last 49 matches not involving Carlos Alcaraz. The world No. 1’s consistency, precision from the baseline, and fitness make him a menace on any surface, although grass is still his least proven Slam terrain. His path won’t be easy – with names like Ben Shelton (+850) and Lorenzo Musetti (+1000) lurking – but the Italian is a massive -500 favorite to advance from Quarter 1 and likely to go deep once again.

Novak Djokovic (+550 to win outright, -105 to win Quarter 2)

Djokovic’s aura remains strong at Wimbledon. A seven-time champion at SW19, the 24-time Slam winner made a solid French Open semifinal run despite injury concerns. He hasn’t dropped many matches on grass in recent years, and with this potentially being his farewell appearance at Wimbledon, the motivation is sky-high. Djokovic leads Quarter 2 at -105, but faces serious pressure from in-form names like Jack Draper (+225), Alexander Bublik (+450) and rising star Jakub Mensik (+1000).

Best of the Rest: Quarter-by-Quarter Analysis & Contenders

Quarter 1 – Sinner’s to Lose?

Favorite: Jannik Sinner (-500)

Dark Horses: Lorenzo Musetti (+1000), Ben Shelton (+850), Tommy Paul (+1800)

Sinner’s recent dominance makes him the clear favorite, but this section isn’t without its challenges. Musetti, this year’s French Open semifinalist and Wimbledon semi-finalist last year, lurks as a real threat. Meanwhile, Ben Shelton, with his cannon serve, made the last 16 at Wimbledon in 2024 and could set up a blockbuster fourth-round clash with Musetti. If he finds rhythm, Shelton’s +850 odds might look like a bargain.

Quarter 2 – Djokovic’s Last Stand?

Favorite: Novak Djokovic (-105)

Challengers: Jack Draper (+225), Alexander Bublik (+450), Jakub Mensik (+1000), Alex De Minaur (+850)

This quarter has the most storyline potential. Djokovic is the obvious favorite, but there are landmines everywhere. Draper, Britain’s top hope, is having a breakout season and just won Indian Wells. Bublik, the flamboyant Kazakh who just won Halle on grass, has the tools to beat anyone. And don’t forget Mensik – the 19-year-old Czech who shocked Djokovic en route to the Miami title. At +1000 to win this quarter, he’s a juicy long-shot.

Quarter 3 – The Battle of the Big Men

Favorites: Alexander Zverev (+250), Daniil Medvedev (+350), Taylor Fritz (+400)

Sleepers: Matteo Berrettini (+900), Karen Khachanov (+1200), Gabriel Diallo (+1400)

This section looks like the most wide-open of the four. Zverev and Medvedev have both had deep Slam runs, but neither has found consistency on grass. Fritz, however, has a favorable draw and a 5-0 H2H record vs. Zverev in the past year. Berrettini, a 2021 Wimbledon finalist, looms as a powerful floater – if healthy. This quarter could produce the most surprising semifinalist.

Quarter 4 – Alcaraz’s Playground

Favorite: Carlos Alcaraz (-500)

Contenders: Jiri Lehecka (+850), Holger Rune (+1200)

Alcaraz is the runaway favorite in this section, and it’s hard to see anyone stopping him unless he falters unexpectedly. That said, Jiri Lehecka, a versatile Czech player with a solid grass pedigree, has shown glimpses of brilliance. Rune, still looking for consistency on grass, has top-10 talent but a tough path.

Long Shots & Young Guns to Watch

Ben Shelton (+8000 Outright, +850 to win Q1)

Shelton’s grass results haven’t clicked yet, but the talent is there. With a serve that can do damage on grass and the confidence of a deep Slam run behind him, the American lefty could be a sleeper hit if he clicks early. A likely fourth-round battle with Musetti would be a must-watch.

Jakub Mensik (+1000 to win Q2)

At just 19, Mensik already owns wins over both Fritz and Djokovic in 2025. His power-based game and fearless mentality make him a threat on any surface. Grass is still a work in progress, but he’s drawn a winnable section and could ride momentum into the second week.

What About Daniil Medvedev?

It’s hard to write a Wimbledon preview without mentioning Daniil Medvedev, but his current form makes him one of the tournament’s biggest question marks. The former US Open champion and ex-World No. 1 has always had a complicated relationship with grass — reaching the semis here in the past two years but often falling short of expectations.

In 2025, his inconsistency has remained an issue. He’s struggled against elite power-hitters and hasn’t shown the same aggression or net play needed to dominate on grass. Still, Medvedev’s deep strategic toolkit and unorthodox game can frustrate any opponent – and his draw could give him a shot at the fourth round or better, especially if he avoids early-round landmines like Fritz or Bublik. If he finds rhythm, Medvedev could still spoil a few brackets.

Outright Winner Odds – Wimbledon 2025

Carlos Alcaraz +105
Jannik Sinner +175
Novak Djokovic +550
Jack Draper +1400
Alexander Zverev +2200
Daniil Medvedev +3300
Taylor Fritz +3300
Alexander Bublik +4000
Jiri Lehecka +5000
Ben Shelton +8000

Pre-Tournament Predictions – Wimbledon 2025

As always with grass-court Grand Slams, expect the unexpected – a perfect mix of tradition, tension, and tiebreakers on the lawns of Wimbledon.

From a betting perspective, there’s strong value in playing both ends of the spectrum this year. While Carlos Alcaraz (+105) offers limited payout, he remains a rock-solid pick to reach the final, especially with a relatively soft quarter. For better value, Taylor Fritz (+400 to win Q3) and Jack Draper (+225 to win Q2) are two other contenders positioned for a deep run, particularly with their recent grass-court form.

In terms of true long-shots, keep an eye on Jakub Mensik (+1000 to win Q2) – his fearless approach and prior wins over top-5 players make him a dangerous floater in Djokovic’s quarter.

However, Djokovic has made it clear that retirement is looming – with whispers of one final Major run driving his 2025 campaign. At 38 years old, questions about stamina and recovery over best-of-five matches on grass are valid, especially against younger threats like Sinner or Alcaraz. But make no mistake: the Serb remains the -105 favorite to win Quarter 2, and even at this late stage of his career, his court craft, experience, and unmatched mental fortitude could still be enough to fend off names like Draper, Bublik, and Mensik. A deep run isn’t guaranteed – but doubting Djokovic at Wimbledon has rarely paid off.