Heading into the upcoming UFC event and you will notice plenty of betting opportunities no matter where you look. One such opportunity lies within the women’s Strawweight division and is between Amanda Ribas and Angela Hill.
Date: Sat, May 8
Venue: UFC Apex
Watch on: ESPN+
Amanda Ribas (10-2-0)
Ribas is coming off of a second-round TKO loss to Marina Rodriguez back in January of this year. This loss put a stop to her previous five-fight winning streak that dated back to 2016.
Her fighting resume shows that she has a balanced winning record of three wins by knockout, four by submission, and three by decision. She also has five first-round finishes with all four of her submissions and one by knockout.
She has a striking accuracy at 44 percent and a grappling accuracy at 58 percent. She lands 4.25 significant strikes a minute while absorbing 1.78. This is an excellent ratio if she can continue these numbers for the rest of her career.
Ribas has a takedown defense at 85 percent and a significant strike defense at 71 percent. She also averages 2.31 takedowns and 1.60 submissions every 15 minutes.
Angela Hill (13-9-0)
Hill was able to turn things around with a recent victory after previously losing two straight bouts. This last performance was a unanimous decision against Ashley Yoder back in January of this year.
Her fighting resume shows that she has five wins by knockout and eight by decision. So far, she only has one first-round knockout finish.
“Overkill” has a striking accuracy at 50 percent and a grappling accuracy at 36 percent. She lands 5.66 significant strikes a minute while taking on 4.98. This ratio is decent, with a slight separation between the two averages.
Hill has a takedown defense at 76 percent and a significant strike defense at 64 percent. She also averages 0.45 takedowns and 0.10 submissions every 15 minutes.
Ribas vs. Hill Betting Odds & Lines
The market is showing Ribas to be a moderate favorite here. For the moneyline, Intertops has the odds currently set at:
*odds are subject to changes
Free Betting Pick
This matchup could potentially be a lot closer than these odds indicate. Hill has been back and forth on her resume since she joined the UFC but still has the potential to win this one.
Hill will most likely try to keep the fight standing, especially since she has a high significant strike average per minute. However, she also takes on nearly as much, so this could be an issue.
Ribas has been able to put on a steady display of success and has the ability to win in any category she needs. On top of that, her averages look great everywhere.
Overall, Ribas has a great chance to come away with a solid striking performance and be aggressive on takedowns. Look for her to prevail here.
Spooky Express Free Pick: Ribas wins via submission, at -180
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