UFC 263 Betting Preview – Belal Muhammad vs. Demian Maia – Saturday, June 12, 2021

by Ayden Fahlstrom | June 10, 2021 |

The second matchup on the main card for UFC 263 should prove to be a great fight and betting opportunity. You should definitely look further into the welterweight battle; this is between Demian Maia and Belal Muhammad. It should be a close and interesting bout!

Date: Sat, Jun 12, 9:00 PM

Venue: Gila River Arena

Watch on: PPV

The Fighters

Demian Maia (28-10-0)

Maia is coming off of a first-round knockout loss to Gilbert Burns back in March of last year. This loss snapped his previous three-fight winning streak dating back to early 2019.

His fighting resume shows that he has three wins by knockout, 14 by submission, and 11 by decision. He also has 12 first-round finishes, with nine coming by submission and three by knockout.

He has a striking accuracy at 43 percent and a grappling accuracy at 26 percent. He lands 1.82 significant strikes a minute while absorbing 2.03. This ratio is slightly on the negative side and one that he has had for quite some time.

Maia has a takedown defense at 61 percent and a significant strike defense at 63 percent. He also averages 2.55 takedowns and 1.00 submissions every 15 minutes.

Belal Muhammad (18-3-0)

Muhammad is coming off of a no contest back in March of this year against Leon Edwards. With that being said, he is looking to continue building his four-fight winning streak dating back to the middle of 2019.

His fighting resume shows that he has four wins by knockout, one by submission, and 13 by decision. He also has put up one first-round knockout finish, with it being his very first professional victory.

“Remember the Name” has a striking accuracy at 43 percent and a grappling accuracy at 28 percent. He lands 4.75 significant strikes a minute while taking on 4.02. This is a solid ratio but not much room for error here.

Muhammad has a takedown defense at 85 percent and a significant strike defense at 60 percent. He also averages 1.97 takedowns and 0.20 submissions every 15 minutes.

Muhammad vs. Maia Betting Odds & Lines

The market is showing Muhammad as the moderate favorite to win here. For the moneyline, BookMaker has the odds currently placed at:

Maia: +179

Muhammad: -230

*odds are subject to changes

Free Betting Pick

The market clearly is liking what Muhammad brings to the octagon. With 13 decisions and a four-fight winning streak, he makes a solid case to win here once again.

Maia is coming off of a tough loss, but that is not what is alarming from his resume. His significant strike ratio is not so great, especially since he takes on more than he delivers.

Muhammad is not really a flashy fighter, but he does not have to be to land wins. Overall, look for another long-distance battle with Muhammad winning the striking battle and coming away with the decision victory.

Spooky Express Free Pick: Muhammad to win via decision, at -230

Spooky Express is your UFC 263 headquarters for Fight Breakdowns, Betting Analysis, Fight FREE PLAYS, DFS Lineup Tips, Sportsbook Bonuses and much more! CLICK HERE to read each individual handicapping breakdowns from this UFC event!

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