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UFC 255 Betting Prediction: Brandon Moreno vs. Brandon Royval

by Ayden Fahlstrom | November 20, 2020 |

The last fight on the preliminary card should set up the main card very well. From a betting perspective, this bout is one to keep an eye on. For the flyweight matchup, you will get to see Brandon Moreno and Brandon Royval.  

Date: Sat, Nov 21, 7:00 PM

Venue: UFC Apex

Watch on: ESPN 2

Betting Preview: Brandon Moreno (17-5-1)

Moreno is currently on a three-fight winning streak coming into this one. His last bout was against Jussier Formiga, in which he came away with a decision. 

His fighting resume shows that he has two wins by knockout, ten by submission, and five by decision. Out of his 17 wins, he has seven first-round submission victories. 

“The Assassin Baby” has a striking accuracy at 34% and a grappling accuracy at 40%. He lands 3.00 significant strikes a minute while absorbing 2.94. This is a solid 1:1 ratio here but could look to improve going forward. 

Moreno has a takedown defense at 69% and a significant strike defense at 63%. He also averages 1.75 takedowns and 0.50 submissions every 15 minutes. 

Betting Preview: Brandon Royval (12-4-0)

Royval finds himself currently on a four-fight winning streak. His previous matchup was against Kai Kara France, in which he was able to deliver an early second-round submission finish. 

His fighting resume shows that he has three wins by knockout, eight by submission, and one by decision. Out of his 12 wins, he also has eight first-round finishes when adding both knockouts and submissions. 

“Raw Dawg” has two UFC bouts so far but has been able to strike with accuracy at 52% and a grappling accuracy at 100%. He lands 3.90 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 2.77. This is a great ratio, with both sides looking good. 

Royval has a takedown defense at 63% and a significant strike defense at 44%. He also averages 1.06 takedowns and 3.20 submissions every 15 minutes. 

Moreno vs. Royval Betting Odds & Lines

The market has had mixed feelings across the board so far. For the moneyline, BookMaker has the odds currently set at:

  • Moreno: -200
  • Royval: +157

*odds are subject to changes 

Free Betting Pick 

Both of these fighters have a great resume built thus far and look to impress here. Royval has a great opportunity to take this fight here. 

If Royval can dictate the pace and control the ground game, then he has a shot. However, his opponent is slightly better in that scenario, so he would need to be perfect here. 

Moreno has more experience so far in the UFC and has dealt with a handful of quality fighters. His averages are also more accurate as opposed to the couple of fights Royval has experienced here. 

Overall, if Moreno can control this fight early, then he should be able to win. This one most likely could go the distance. 

Spooky Express Free Pick: Moreno wins via decision, at -200

Spooky Express is your UFC 255 headquarters for Fight Breakdowns, Betting Analysis, Fight FREE PLAYS, DFS Lineup Tips, Sportsbook Bonuses and much more! CLICK HERE to read each individual handicapping breakdowns from this UFC event!

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