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UFC Vegas 20 Betting Prediction: Ciryl Gane vs. Jairzinho Rozenstruik

by Cole Paganelli | February 22, 2021 |

In the next UFC event, there is a standout main event battle you do not want to miss. In this fight, you can catch a heavyweight showdown between Jairzinho Rozenstruik and Ciryl Gane. 

Date: Sat, Feb 27, 7:00 PM

Venue: UFC Apex

Watch on: ESPN+

The Fighters 

Jairzinho Rozenstruik (11-1-0)

Rozenstruik is currently ranked as the third best fighter in the heavyweight division. His last fight was a knockout victory against Junior Dos Santos back in August of 2020. 

His fighting resume shows that he has 10 wins by knockout and one by decision. He also has seven out of his 10 knockouts resulting in first round finishes. 

“Bigi Boy” has a striking accuracy at 51 percent and nothing yet for a grappling accuracy. He lands 4.04 significant strikes a minute while absorbing 3.10. This is a solid ratio with room to be more aggressive if he wanted. 

Rozenstruik has a takedown defense at 75 percent and a significant strike defense at 36 percent. He does not yet have averages for any takedowns or submissions in each fight. 

Ciryl Gane (7-0-0)

Gane is currently the seventh best fighter in the heavyweight division. He is currently riding a seven fight, undefeated winning streak heading into this matchup. 

His fighting resume shows that he has three wins by knockout, three by submission, and one by decision. He also has three first round finishes with a combination of knockouts and submissions. 

“Bon Gamin” has a striking accuracy at 54 percent and a grappling accuracy at 60 percent. He lands 5.61 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 1.95. This is an excellent ratio to have if he can continue this pace. 

Gane has a takedown defense at 100 percent and a significant strike defense at 73 percent. He also averages 1.08 takedowns and 0.70 submissions every 15 minutes. 

Odds For This Event 

The market is showing to have Gane as a moderate favorite here. For the moneyline, BookMaker has the odds currently placed at:

Gane: -275

Rozenstruick: +211

*odds are subject to changes 

Free Betting Pick 

Both of these fighters have shown tremendous success in their time with the UFC. They have become top tier names within the heavyweight division, and Gane looks to crack the top five. 

Rozenstruik only has one bad loss on his resume and that was a knockout from Francis Ngannou. Other than that, he has faced many fighters and delivered plenty of knockouts. 

Gane has shown to have an all around performance and can end a fight however he needs it to go. Even with four UFC bouts on his resume, he has taken care of fighters with ease. 

Overall, this should be a fast paced striking match that could result in a knockout. Gane has shown to land a considerable amount of significant strikes each minute without absorbing too many, and that could be the difference. 

Spooky Express Free Pick: Gane wins via TKO, at -275

Spooky Express is your UFC Vegas 20 headquarters for Fight Breakdowns, Betting Analysis, Fight FREE PLAYS, DFS Lineup Tips, Sportsbook Bonuses and much more! CLICK HERE to read each individual handicapping breakdowns from this UFC event!

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