The early prelims carry a handful of battles that are worth looking into for UFC 263. One, in particular, to check out for a great betting opportunity is the lightweight showdown between Fares Ziam and Luigi Vendramini.
Date: Sat, Jun 12, 5:00 PM
Venue: Gila River Arena
Watch on: ESPN
Fares Ziam (11-3-0)
Ziam is coming off of a unanimous decision victory against Jamie Mullarkey back in October of last year. This win put him back on the winning side after dropping the last bout by unanimous decision against Don Madge.
His fighting resume shows that he has five wins by knockout, four by submission, and two by decision. He also has five first-round finishes, with three coming by knockout and two by submission.
“Smile Killer” has a striking accuracy at 47 percent and a grappling accuracy at 11 percent. He lands 1.90 significant strikes a minute while absorbing 1.37. This ratio is solid but could use a little more volume and be more aggressive.
Ziam has a takedown defense at 65 percent and a significant strike defense at 66 percent. He also averages 0.50 takedowns per 15 minutes of fight time.
Luigi Vendramini (9-1-0)
Vendramini is returning to action after a first-round head kick knockout against Jessin Ayari back in October of last year. This got him back on the winning side after a loss in the previous battle.
His fighting resume shows that he has five wins by knockout and four by submission. He also has seven first-round finishes, with four coming by submission and three by knockout.
“The Italian Stallion” has a striking accuracy at 42 percent but nothing yet for a grappling accuracy. He lands 2.26 significant strikes a minute while taking on 2.26. This is a good start for a ratio here and is not the bad volume on both sides.
Vendramini does not yet have a takedown defense recorded but has a significant strike defense at 59 percent. He also does not have any averages for takedowns or submissions.
Ziam vs. Vendramini Betting Odds & Lines
The market has this battle slightly favoring Ziam here. For the moneyline, BetOnline has the odds currently set at:
*odds are subject to changes
Free Betting Pick
Both fighters are matched up perfectly for this battle. They both have two appearances within the UFC and look to impress with this battle.
Ziam has had both battles so far that have been decided by decisions. In those events, he lost the first and won the second but also gave up a lot of takedowns as he was unable to defend well.
As for Vendramini, he lost his first battle by knockout but was able to quickly rebound with a first-round knockout in the next fight. He has shown to be the more explosive fighter here.
Overall, Vendramini appears to have a slight edge here. Look for him to land a TKO of some kind here.
Spooky Express Free Pick: Vendramini wins via TKO at +117
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