UFC Fight Island Betting Prediction: John Phillips vs. Park Jun-Yong

by Ayden Fahlstrom | October 14, 2020 |

Taking place in the middle of the prelims is a great matchup for a middleweight battle for a pair of fighters that are looking to climb up the rankings. This fight will be between Park Jun-Yong and John Phillips.

  • Date: Saturday, October 17, 3:00 PM
  • Venue: Flash Forum
  • Watch on: ESPN+

Park Jun-Yong (11-4-0)

Park is coming off of a decision win back in December of 2019. His fighting resume shows that he has 5 wins by knockout, 3 by submission, and 3 by decision.

“The Iron Turtle” has a striking accuracy at 47 percent and a grappling accuracy at 50 percent. He lands 6.41 significant strikes a minute while absorbing 4.46. This is a solid ratio here with a great volume of strikes.

Park has a takedown defense at 45 percent and a significant strike defense at 59 percent. He also averages 3.04 takedowns per 15 minutes of fight time.

John Phillips (22-10-0)

Phillips is coming into this fight fresh off a submission loss back in July. His fighting resume shows that he has 20 wins by knockout and 2 by decision.

“The Welsh Wrecking Machine” has a striking accuracy at 34 percent and nothing for a grappling accuracy. He lands 2.25 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 5.31. This ratio is quite negative, as he takes a lot more strikes in versus delivering them.

Phillips has a takedown defense at 11 percent and a significant strike defense at 49 percent. He does not have any clear averages for takedowns or submissions.

Odds For This Event

The market has been somewhat back and forth with an average for this one. Intertops has the odds currently set at:

Park: -260

Phillips: +200

*odds are subject to changes

Potential Winning Pick

Both of these fighters have some interesting points to their resumes that can make this a great fight. But can their odds be justified here?

Phillips has had a rough stretch over his last few fights and is now back on the losing end of things. I am not completely sold that he will turn it around with this one, with his current striking ability and his poor takedown defense.

Park could have one excellent fight here, as long as he can defend against Phillips’ aggressive strikes. He should be able to take him down and keep him on the ground.

Spooky Express Free Pick: Park wins via submission

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