The main card in the upcoming UFC Fight Night event has some exciting matchups to take a look at. Each one presents an interesting betting experience and should provide some compelling opportunities.
One battle to dive into is the bantamweight showdown between Kyler Phillips and Raulian Paiva. Both fighters have displayed great performances leading up to this matchup.
- Date: Sat, Jul 24, 6:00 PM
- Venue: UFC Apex
- Watch on: ESPN+
Kyler Phillips (9-1-0): Looking to Make it Five Straight Wins
Phillips is currently sporting a four-fight winning streak coming into this one. His most recent one was a unanimous decision against Yadong Song back in March of this year.
His fighting resume shows that he has five wins by knockout, one by submission, and three by decision. This resume shows his ability to win in any category needed to get the job done.
“Matrix” has a striking accuracy at 46 percent and a grappling accuracy at 63 percent. He lands 5.32 significant strikes a minute while absorbing 3.04. This is a solid ratio with some breathing room between the two averages.
Philips has a takedown defense at 71 percent and a significant strike defense at 61 percent. He also averages 2.88 takedowns and 0.40 submissions every 15 minutes.
Raulian Paiva (20-3-0): Can He Make it Three Consecutive Victories?
Paiva is seeking a third straight victory after landing a unanimous decision against Zhalgas Zhumagulov back in July of last year. In 2020 alone, he was able to land two straight after not winning anything in 2019.
His fighting resume shows that he has four wins by knockout, three by submission and 13 by decision. As you can see, his fighting style is usually a long-distance battle.
He has a striking accuracy at 43 percent and a grappling accuracy at 20 percent. He lands 4.46 significant strikes a minute while taking on 4.89. This ratio is slightly on the negative side so this could show up here.
Paiva has a takedown defense at 80 percent and a significant strike defense at 51 percent. He also averages 0.26 takedowns and 0.30 submissions every 15 minutes.
Odds For This Event
The market is showing Phillips as the moderate favorite here. For the Moneyline, MyBookie has the odds currently set at:
*odds are subject to changes
Free Betting Pick
Paiva has been able to land victories most of the time by decision, meaning he can do everything right to get the approval of the judges. However, he will need to control the pace here which will be a challenging task against an aggressive opponent.
Phillips is great on his feet and also does enough to land approval from the judges when needed. He does have some solid grappling if the fight moves in that direction.
Overall, look for Phillips to close this out early without the judge’s help. He should have an all-around performance here.
Spooky Express Free Pick: Phillips wins via TKO, at -250
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