PFL 2019 #4 Handicapping Tips and Betting Picks
Where/Venue: Ocean Casino Resort
Where/Location: Atlantic City, NJ
When: Thursday, July 11, 2019 at 5:30 PM ET
The second season of Pro Fighters League is underway and on Thursday Night, July 11, 2019, from the Ocean's Resort in Atlantic City, New Jersey, the Lightweight Men and Women will take the cage, along with the Welterweight Men!!!
This card is slated to take place on ESPN 2 and ESPN+ App starting at 5:30 PM eastern standard time.
There is currently 10 fights scheduled to take place from the Men and Women's Lightweight Division and the Welterweight Division. Let’s take a look at the fight card.
PFL 2019 #4 Fight Card
Magomed Magomedkerimov 24-5 vs. Chris Curtis 21-5
Kayla Harrison 4-0 vs. Morgan Frier 4-2
Sarah Kaufman 21-4 vs. Roberta Paim Samad 5-1
John Howard 27-15 vs. Ray Cooper 18-6
Andre Fialho 10-2 vs. Zane Kamaka 12-4
Sadibou Sy 8-4-1 vs. Glaico Franco 20-5
Handesson Ferreira 14-2-1 vs. David Michaud 15-5
Bobbi Jo Daizel 5-0 vs. Larissa Pacheco 11-3
Genah Fabian 1-1 vs. Moriel Chaneski 3-6
Bojan Velickovic 16-9-2 vs. Joao Zeferino 23-9
PFL 2019 #4 Handicapping
Let me start off by saying that there really isn't a ton of fights that interest me on this card. Many of the fights are complete mismatches, which make the odds off the charts. I would much prefer giving out a fight where we can bet on without any concern than to give out these major favorites, with odds of -500 and upwards.
That being said, the fight we are looking at with the most interest here on Thursday Night is in the Main Event between Magomed Magomedkerimov and Chris Curtis in the Welterweight Division. This fight is scheduled to take place over 3 x 5 minute rounds.
Magomedkerimov enters this fight with a record of 24-5 and is riding a 9-fight win streak. He is fresh off a PFL #1 victory over John Howard, who was moving down from 185 lbs. Magomedkerimov absolutely dominated the fight, submitting Howard via a Guillotine Choke in the 1st round.
Magomedkerimov has wins during this current win streak over the likes of Ray Cooper and Bojan Velickovic, both of which are in this current Welterweight Tournament. Magomedkerimov has won 10 fights by KO and 8 by submission, with his other 6 wins coming by decision. He is equally dangerous on the ground as he is on the feet and has some very strong grappling experience.
Chris Curtis is 21-5 and is a great matchup for Magomedkerimov. Curtis is riding a 8-fight win streak and has won 11 of his last 12 fights. Curtis enters this fight off a win in the 3rd round KO over Andre Fialho.
Curtis is a very high level striker and will look to put pressure on Magomedkerimov from the early stages of this fight. Curtis is a very big underdog but I question if that line is bias to recency.
Curtis absolutely has the power to KO Magomedkerimov and while he doesn't have but 1 submission on his resume, his wrestling is good enough to keep him off the mat.
Additionally, when you look down his fights, you notice that he has only been finished 1 time in his career and that came all the way back in 2011 at the hands of UFC veteran Tom Gallachio by submission. I like Curtis's chances to pull off the upset here. I think he will keep distance and use his cage IQ to rangle up the upset at +300.