UFC 248 Handicapping Tips and Betting Pick

by Cole Paganelli | March 4, 2020 |

UFC 248 is being held at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. This event is on Saturday, March 7 and the main event will be featuring a middleweight bout between the current undefeated champion Israel Adesanya and challenger Yoel Romero.

Main Event Odds

MyBookie has the odds for this main event currently at:

  • Adesanya: -285
  • Romero: +225

*These odds are subject to change

The Fighters

Israel “The Last Stylebender” Adesanya (18-0-0) is your undefeated middleweight champion. 77 percent of his wins have been knockouts. You put together his striking accuracy of 54 percent and his takedown defense of 85 percent, you have a dangerous fighter here.

He lands 4.47 significant strikes a minute and takes in about 2.07 in the same time frame. He stands at 75 inches and also has a reach of 80 inches, so he typically has a reach advantage over most of his opponents.

Yoel “Soldier of God” Romero (13-4-0) is your third best fighter in the middleweight division. 85 percent of his wins have been by knockout. His striking accuracy is at 51 percent and he has a grappling accuracy of 36 percent. He has a great background in wrestling so his grappling accuracy is a little misleading here.

Romero lands 3.32 signature strikes a minute and takes in roughly 2.95 in the same time. He stands at 72 inches and his reach extends out to 73.5 inches. He may have a harder time trying to close in on Adesanya due to his reach disadvantage here.

Winner of Main Event

Romero has lost his last two fights heading into this one. You could argue that he is not prepared for this one due to the opponent he is facing. A lot of people have him as a heavy underdog. However there is a case to be made for him if he can successfully pull it off.

Romero’s fighting style is where he creates a slower tempo and will attempt to wrestle with you. If you look at his significant strikes, he slightly throws out more hits than he receives waiting for the right moment to knock you out. This could backfire in this matchup, since Adesanya hits his opponents twice as much as he gets himself hit when you look at significant strikes.

If you look at Adesanya, he is the quicker athlete compared to Romero here. He should be able to dictate his tempo and make this fight the way he wants to but Romero could potentially wear him down by taking the fight to the ground.

In conclusion, we have an excellent fight here. Both of these guys are great knockout artists and have the experience you want to bet on. Romero makes a strong case to take the title away from Adesanya but I am not sure this is the right time for it. Adesanya has the reach, quickness, and his undefeated record at his advantage for this one.

Spooky Express Free Pick: Adesanya wins by TKO

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