UFC 251 Betting Preview and Free Play: Kamaru Usman vs. Jorge Masvidal

by Tyler Vaysman | July 5, 2020 |

After a series of complications for this fight, Kamaru Usman will be taking on Jorge Masvidal for the main event of UFC 251. These two incredible welterweights will be squaring off even as Masvidal has a short turnaround time to enter this one. 

  • Date:Saturday, Jul 11, 9:00 PM
  • Venue:UFC Fight Island
  • Watch on:PPV

The Fighters 

Kamaru Usman (16-1-0)

Usman is the current welterweight division champion with a 15 fight win streak. His fighting resume shows that he has 6 wins by knockout, 8 by decision, and 1 by submission. 

“The Nigerian Nightmare” has a striking accuracy of 53 percent and a grappling accuracy of 51 percent. He lands 4.60 significant strikes a minute while absorbing 2.17. This ratio is a great 2 to 1, with delivering hits versus taking them. 

Usman has a very strong takedown defense at 100 percent and a significant strike defense at 60 percent. He also averages 3.44 takedowns and 0.16 submissions every 15 minutes. 

Jorge Masvidal

Masvidal is attempting to take on Usman without much notice but the 3rd ranked best fighter in the welterweight division should be ready for anything. His record is full of wins with 15 by knockout, 17 decisions, and 2 submissions. 

“Gamebred” has a striking accuracy of 48 percent and a grappling accuracy of 52 percent. He lands 4.11 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 4.18. This ratio needs to be better if taking on someone like Usman. 

Masvidal has a takedown defense at 78 percent and a significant strike defense at 67 percent. He also averages 1.16 takedowns and 0.51 submissions every 15 minutes. 

Odds For This Event 

The market is still gathering more placements of odds due to the short notice of replacements. The average odds so far has been the following:

Usman: -310

Masvidal: +260

*odds are subject to changes 

Potential Winning Pick 

The two fighters are atop the welterweight division and deserve much respect when it comes to their resumes and what they can do. However, this might be too soon for Masvidal to try and knock off Usman without having the proper amount of time to work on his strategy. Usman should be able to hold off an aggressive Masvidal. This should be a great striking match with both fighters lasting till the end. 

Spooky Express Free Pick: Usman wins via decision 

Spooky Express is your UFC 251 and Fight Island headquarters for Fight Breakdowns, Betting Analysis, Fight FREE PLAYS, DFS Lineup Tips, Sportsbook Bonuses and much more! CLICK HERE to read each individual handicapping breakdowns from this UFC event!

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