UFC 251 Betting Preview and Free Play: Karol Rosa vs. Vanessa Melo

by Tyler Vaysman | July 6, 2020 |

Another betting opportunity will be in your hands for the next UFC event. In addition to the amount of fights, one fight you want to catch is between two women’s bantamweights Karol Rosa and Vanessa Melo in the early prelims. 

  • Date: Saturday, July 11, 5:00 PM
  • Venue: UFC Fight Island
  • Watch on: ESPN

The Fighters 

Karol Rosa (12-3-0)

Rosa has started off great so far in her career. Her resume shows that she has 4 wins by knockout, 5 by decision, and 2 by submission. 

According to her stats and resume, this will be her second fight with the UFC. So her stats are reflective upon her first battle. Her first fight came with a split decision victory.  

She has a striking accuracy at 49 percent and nothing for a grappling accuracy. It shows she lands 11.40 significant strikes a minute while absorbing 11. Not sure if these are correct, but it is safe to assume her ratio is a 1 to 1 here. 

She has a significant strike defense at 43 percent and a takedown defense at 100 percent. Her average fight time lasts about 15 minutes. 

Vanessa Melo (10-7-0)

Melo has had some ups and downs so far in her bantamweight division attempts. Her resume shows that she has 8 wins by decision and 2 by submission. 

Her first two fights in the UFC have come at decision losses for her. Since she is newer to the UFC she does not have any updated stats available for use other than her resume. 

With that being said, she has a reach of 65 inches and stands at 65 inches. She is at a slight disadvantage in reach compared to Rosa’s 67.5 inches. 

Odds For This Event 

The market has the odds nearly identical across the board for this matchup. BetOnline currently has the odds sitting at:

Rosa: -220

Melo: + 185

*odds are subject to changes 

Potential Winning Pick 

Both of these fighters are looking to make their case in the UFC, as they both still have fresh records entering the division. However, I believe one has a better edge here. 

Rosa appears to have the better all around game here with her great striking ability and aggressive approach. I believe she will be able to close out the fight before it has to go to decision here. 

Spooky Express Free Pick: Rosa wins via TKO

Spooky Express is your UFC 251 and Fight Island headquarters for Fight Breakdowns, Betting Analysis, Fight FREE PLAYS, DFS Lineup Tips, Sportsbook Bonuses and much more! CLICK HERE to read each individual handicapping breakdowns from this UFC event!

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