UFC 251 Betting Preview and Free Play: Raulian Paiva vs. Zhalgas Zhumagulov

by Tyler Vaysman | July 6, 2020 |

In the early prelims for UFC 251, you can check out a potential great fight and betting opportunity. From the flyweight division you will see Raulian Paiva and Zhalgas Zhumagulov battling it out. 

  • Date: Saturday , July 11, 5:00 PM
  • Venue: UFC Fight Island
  • Watch on: ESPN PPV

The Fighters

 Raulian Paiva (19-3-0)

Paiva is currently ranked the 14th best fighter in the flyweight division, with this fight here being his 4th UFC fight. His professional fighting record shows that he has 12 wins by decision, 4 by knockout, and 3 by submission. 

Paiva has a striking accuracy at 38 percent and nothing to show for a grappling accuracy. He lands 4.49 significant strikes a minute while absorbing 7.82. This ratio here is not good to have at all, as it shows he greatly takes on more significant strikes than he delivers. 

He has a takedown defense at 79 percent and a significant strike defense at 53 percent. He also averages 0.54 submissions every 15 minutes. 

Zhalgas Zhumagulov (13-3-0)

Zhumagulov will be making his UFC debut with his bout here. His record reflects what he has so far in his professional career which is 6 wins by knockout, 6 by decision, and 1 by submission. 

“Zhako” does not have much of any information at the moment for UFC stats since he has not fought in the UFC yet. Heading into this fight he is on a 4 fight win streak. All of those recent wins have come by decision. 

Based on his recent fights, he has been able to hold his own when it comes to his stand up. He also has been able to use some ground game to his advantage. 

Odds For This Event 

The market has consistently viewed Paiva as the favorite here. BookMaker has the odds currently placed at:

Paiva: – 190

Zhumagulov: +150

*odds are subject to changes 

Potential Winning Pick 

Both of these fighters show great signs of success in the UFC. They both have competitive resumes but are the odds justified here?

Paiva seems to be a solid striker here but his significant strike ratio is quite worrisome if he cannot defend against an even better striker. Zhumagulov appears to be able to hold his own but has nothing really to point to for concrete evidence other than mostly decision wins. 

I like Paiva for this one because he seems to be able to adapt to any situation for the win. His solid takedown defense should also help him if Zhumagulov tries to take him down. 

Spooky Express Free Pick: Paiva wins via decision 

Spooky Express is your UFC 251 and Fight Island headquarters for Fight Breakdowns, Betting Analysis, Fight FREE PLAYS, DFS Lineup Tips, Sportsbook Bonuses and much more! CLICK HERE to read each individual handicapping breakdowns from this UFC event!

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