UFC 252 Fight Predictions and Betting Free Play: John Dodson and Merab Dvalishvili

by Tyler Vaysman | August 10, 2020 |

UFC bettors have a lot to look forward to with the next event. The main card has a great fight to pay attention to, specifically the bantamweight bout between John Dodson and Merab Dvalishvili. 

  • Date: Saturday, August 15, 9:00 PM
  • Venue: UFC APEX
  • Watch on: PPV

The Fighters 

John Dodson (22-11-0)

Dodson is currently ranked the 12th best fighter in the bantamweight division. His fighting resume shows that he has 10 wins by knockout, 2 by submission, and 9 by decision. 

“The Magician” has a striking accuracy at 41 percent.l and a grappling accuracy at 28 percent. He lands 3.30 significant strikes a minute while absorbing 3.59. This ratio is just slightly on the negative side and he needs to defend better going forward. 

Dodson has a takedown defense at 80 percent and a significant strike defense at 61 percent. Per 15 minutes of fight time, he also averages 0.76 takedowns. 

Merab Dvalishvili (11-4-0)

Dvalishvili is currently ranked the 15th best fighter in the bantamweight division. His fighting resume shows that he has 2 wins by knockout, 1 by submission, and 8 by decision. 

“The Machine” has a striking accuracy at 39 percent and a grappling accuracy at 50 percent. He lands 4.01 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 2.12. This is a very solid ratio, as he has a great pace and defends well. 

Dvalishvili has a takedown defense at 80 percent and a significant strike defense at 59 percent. He also averages a very aggressive 8.67 takedowns and 0.30 submissions every 15 minutes. 

Odds For This Event 

The market has a fairly consistent opinion on the odds for this one. BetOnline has the odds currently placed at:

Dodson: +155

Dvalishvili: -180

*odds are subject to changes 

Potential Winning Pick 

Both of these fighters have positive similarities in their fighting resumes and look to put on a show. However, are the odds justified here?

Dodson has a variety of wins in multiple categories and has some solid offensive numbers. However, his defense would be in question against a solid striker. 

Dvalishvili has the better stats when looking at most of his resume. However, he has led a lot of fights to decision when he probably could have capitalized on them. Overall, I still like Dvalishvili for the win here. 

Spooky Express Free Pick: Dvalishvili wins via decision

Spooky Express is your UFC 252 headquarters for Fight Breakdowns, Betting Analysis, Fight FREE PLAYS, DFS Lineup Tips, Sportsbook Bonuses and much more! CLICK HERE to read each individual handicapping breakdowns from this UFC event!

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