UFC Fight Night APEX Vegas #6 Betting Preview and Free Play: Tim Means vs. Laureano Staropoli

by Tyler Vaysman | August 4, 2020 |

The prelim card for the next UFC event has some interesting betting opportunities. To be specific, the welterweight bout between Tim Means and Laureano Staropoli should provide a great betting experience. 

  • Date: Saturday, August 8, 5:00 PM
  • Venue: UFC APEX
  • Watch on: ESPN+

The Fighters 

Tim Means (29-12-1)

Means has put up some great stats in the welterweight division. His fighting resume shows that he has 19 wins by knockout, 5 by submission, and 5 by decision. 

“The Dirty Bird” has a striking accuracy at 46 percent and a grappling accuracy of 44 percent. He lands 4.87 significant strikes a minute while absorbing 3.44. Not a bad ratio but I would like to see a better defense here. 

Means has a takedown defense at 64 percent and a significant strike defense at 62 percent. He also averages 0.92 takedowns and 0.23 submissions every 15 minutes. 

Laureano Staropoli (9-2-0)

Staropoli has been on a roll in the welterweight division. His fighting resume shows that he has 5 wins by knockout, 2 by submission, and 2 by decision. 

“Pepi” has a striking accuracy at 35 percent and a grappling accuracy at 25 percent. He lands 4.29 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 4.22. This ratio is almost a 1 to 1 here, but he needs to defend better going forward. 

Staropoli has a takedown defense at 50 percent and a significant strike defense at 57 percent. He also averages 0.33 takedowns per 15 minutes of fight time. 

Odds For This Event 

The market has had a fairly consistent view so far for this one. BetOnline has the odds currently placed at:

Means:+120

Staropoli:-140

*odds are subject to changes 

Potential Winning Pick 

Both of these fighters present an interesting matchup since they both have different resumes, especially in the win column. However, can these odds be justified here?

Staropoli has some great offensive skills in delivering significant strikes a minute. However, his defenses and his striking accuracy are much to be desired here. 

Means seems to have a better all around performance capability. He also has slightly better defenses and offensive significant strikes. 

If this fight can stay standing, I believe Means will come out with a victory. If Strapoli wants to win, he is going to find a way to try and make it happen.  

Spooky Express Free Pick : Means wins via TKO

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