UFC Fight Night Rio Rancho Handicapping Tips and Betting Pick

by Ayden Fahlstrom | February 15, 2020 |

UFC Fight Night 167 will be featuring a light heavyweight bout between Corey Anderson and Jan Blachowicz. This main event will be taking place at the Santa Ana Star Center in Rio Rancho, New Mexico, on February 15. 

Main Event Odds

My Bookie has the odds for Anderson vs Blachowicz currently at:

  • Anderson:     -225
  • Blachowicz:  +185

Tale of the Tape

Corey “Overtime” Anderson (13-4-0) is currently, according to the rankings, the fifth best fighter in the light heavyweight division. He has four wins by knockout and nine by decision. His reach extends to 79 inches. He has a 46% striking accuracy and a 50% grappling accuracy.

Anderson seems to be the aggressor, and lands about 4.37 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 2.20 a minute. He has a significant strike defense of 59%, which could explain why three of his losses have been by knockouts. When he strikes, he tends to land his significant strikes to the head at least 59% of the time. 

He has a wrestling background, but has not had any attempt at a submission. He can takedown his opponents with an average of 4.96 per 15 minutes. He also has a nice takedown defense of 83%. 

Jan Blachowicz (25-8-0) is the sixth best ranked fighter in the light heavyweight division, right behind his upcoming opponent. Six of his wins have been by knockout, while nine have been by submission. He has a 50% striking accuracy and a 52% grappling accuracy.  

Blachowicz has a reach of 78 inches, lands 3.54 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 3.11 a minute. He usually lands significant strikes to the head at 68% of the time. His significant strike ratio is a bit concerning, especially against someone that is an aggressive striker. 

He has been successful at winning with a submission. If I were his opponent, I would also want to be aware of his strong knockout power. You can almost guarantee that his next win will be either a decision or a submission.

Winner of Fight Night Rio Rancho

These two have fought each other before. In their last meeting, Anderson landed 156 total strikes compared to Blachowicz 33 strikes. On paper, this really is a huge gap. 

Both fighters were on their feet most of the fight and had limited ground time. Since both are great wrestlers, I do not see one submitting the other. Blachowicz did try one submission attempt and Anderson managed to have four takedowns successfully out of his four attempts. 

This time around, Anderson should keep a steady pace just like before. Blachowicz has the potential to win, but he is going to have to knock out Anderson.

I believe that Corey Anderson will once again win with his consistency in significant strikes. He should be able to defend himself against any submission attempts. If Anderson can steady himself in this fight, he has a very good chance at winning. 

Spooky Express Free Pick : Anderson Wins by Decision

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